The March of the Democrats

Here’s my political utopia. The time when it comes that a black American will be able to vote Republican or Democrat, Obama or Clinton, without regard to race and entirely upon the basis of merit. I’d like to see that happen.
We didn’t think a lot of whites would vote for someone who is black, but it happened. Now, will blacks vote for a white person, even though the opponent is black and Democrat?
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For the Democrats, Obama’s winning with groups with the Democrats do well with isn’t surprising. He does well with blacks, young people, well educated people and a lot of the affluent. But Clinton is winning with the groups they need to win over. If they don’t get a respectable performance with these groups, the Democrats are going to lose. Obama does badly with these groups: Hispanics, the working class, the poor, small business owners, white men, older people and women.
These groups deserted the Democrats in their worst hours. They are Reagan Democrats. I don’t see how Obama is going to get them to vote for him. Clinton’s best argument is that he wins the groups the Democrats always get, even when someone like Dukakis or Kerry run. She wins the groups that they need to win, the groups that decide elections.
No one really talks about Obama swaying independents anymore. It’s not surprising since they are deserting him in droves, they’re participating less and are generally turned off by the whole cultural mean that was built up by the Wright and San Francisco controversies.
McCain is drawing better on independents better than either Clinton or Obama. Independents are very important in elections. They usually decide them for obvious reasons.
It’s almost like the Democrats are on a suicide pact with Obama that they can’t get out of. It doesn’t mean that there might not be thoughtful super-delegates who may yet go with Clinton, but it’s very unlikely now and there are so few left that it might not matter.
Obama’s result in North Caroline was sufficiently impressive that the super-delegates he has will be intimidated into staying with him. Those results cannot be changed. They’re stuck with him.
I think a lot of people are deluded about Obama’s power as a candidate.